Will the Magnificent 7 Stay on Top

The Magnificent 7 entered 2025 among the Top 10 largest US stocks. But before making an outsize bet on gains from these technology giants, investors should consider a few lessons from market history.

It’s hard to stay on top. For example, only three of the 10 biggest companies from 1980 made the 2000 list—and none of them was in 2025’s Top 10.

Industries ebb and flow. Technology-focused firms currently dominate the list. But in 1980, six of the 10 largest companies were in the energy sector.

New technology doesn’t benefit only tech firms. Throughout history, companies across industries have used technology to innovate and grow.

Diversification enables investors to share in the success of today’s top companies while staying positioned to benefit from tomorrow’s market leaders.

The Magnificent 7 stocks are Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, NVIDIA and Tesla.

Source: Dimensional, using data from the Center for Research in Security Prices and Compustat. Includes all US common stocks. Largest stocks identified at the end of the calendar year preceding the respective period by sorting eligible US stocks on market capitalisation using data provided by the CRSP, University of Chicago.

Risks : Buying Investments can involve risk. The value of your Investments and the income from them can go down as well as up and is not guaranteed at anytime. You may not get back the full amount you invested. Information on past performance is not a reliable indicator for future performance. This information is intended for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell a particular security. The views expressed here are subject to change without notice and we can’t accept any liability for any loss arising directly or indirectly from any use of it.

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Key steps to take before the tax year ends

With the 2025/26 tax year-end approaching, now is the time to act to maximise your financial opportunities. Key priorities include using your £20,000 ISA allowance for tax-efficient growth and contributing up to £60,000 (or more if carry forward is available and relevant earnings are sufficient) to your pension to take advantage of tax relief and long-term benefits. Other allowances, such as Capital Gains Tax, Dividend Allowance and Junior ISAs, are ‘use it or lose it’ opportunities. On page 08, we explain why early action avoids last-minute stress, secures tax savings and ensures financial growth.

With rising life expectancy, more of us will need long-term care, making early financial planning essential. Fees have surged, and regional cost disparities add to the challenge. Funding options include annuities, insurance, investments and equity release. On page 12, we consider how professional advice is crucial for navigating tax implications and securing a sustainable plan for future care needs.

Inheriting wealth can be life-changing but comes with challenges. On page 28, we explain why holding excessive cash may not be the best choice as inflation erodes its value. Instead, consider diversified investments to foster growth. Align your strategies with your goals, whether it’s retirement or supporting your family, and seek professional advice to maximise tax benefits and avoid pitfalls.

Financial uncertainty is growing, with many feeling life is unpredictable. Rising inflation, energy costs, and tax increases fuel concerns, prompting shifts such as increased cash savings and delayed retirements. While saving is important, balancing short-term needs with long-term investments is key. Reviewing pensions and seeking advice builds resilience and confidence. Turn to page 06.

A complete list of the articles featured in this issue appears opposite page and on page 03.

Wealth planning for your future

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US Market Not Partying Like It’s 1999

Much has been made of current US stock market valuations. As of November 30, the aggregate price-to-book ratio of the US market was 5.21—more than double the valuations of non-US developed and emerging market stocks. Many observers have drawn parallels to the late 1990s, when the gap between US and non-US valuations was similarly wide. Some view this as an omen for future returns—and not a good one given the US market’s infamous “lost decade” starting in 2000.

But this comparison may not be apples to apples. The weighted average profitability of the US market has surged in recent years, rising from 42% five years ago to 62% as of November 30. That’s a very different backdrop from 1999, when US market profitability declined over the subsequent five years.

Valuation ratios can be high because expected returns are low or because expected future earnings growth is high. There is no evidence that investors can reliably disentangle these effects in real time. But the strong profitability growth of recent years suggests a more nuanced story behind today’s US valuations. It is not clear that the US market requires poor future returns in order to “grow into” its current valuation levels.

In USD. Source: CRSP and Compustat data calculated by Dimensional. Fama/French data provided by Fama/French. US Market is represented by the Fama/French Total US Market Research Index. Developed ex US Market is represented by the Fama/French International Market Research Index. Emerging Markets is represented by the Fama/French Emerging Markets Index. Monthly aggregate price-to-book ratios are computed as the inverse of the weighted average book-to-market value as of month-end. Firms with negative book value are excluded. Book-to-market ratios above 10 are winsorized as the cutoff value in non-US markets. Profitability is measured as operating income before depreciation and amortization minus interest expense scaled by book. Profitability values above 5 and below −2 are winsorized as the cutoff value. The Fama/French indices represent academic concepts that may be used in portfolio construction and are not available for direct investment or for use as a benchmark. Eugene Fama and Ken French are members of the Board of Directors of the general partner of, and provide consulting services to, Dimensional Fund Advisors LP.

Aggregate price-to-book ratio: The ratio of a firm’s market value to its book value, where market value is computed as price multiplied by shares outstanding, and book value is the value of stockholder equity as reported on a company’s balance sheet.
Profitability: A company’s operating income before depreciation and amortization minus interest expense scaled by book equity.

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Annual Market Review 2025

So in the end after all the uncertainty (Trump's trade tariffs in April and the shift in US Trade Policy among other developments) let's look at 2025. Most investors are much better off than those sitting in cash on deposit. If you want to know which countries returns were higher and was it Emerging markets/ Value / Growth or Smaller companies that performed better in the period please see attached for the answers together with information on interest rates.

This is also evidence that maintaining well-diversified, long-term thinking in your investment approach rather than reacting to short term valuations is essential. As it happened you would have been better off buying the dip in valuations in April!

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Quarterly Market Review
3rd Quarter 2025

Here's a breakdown of what happened last quarter. This is for those of you interested in aspects such as which countries returns were higher and whether it was Value / Growth or Smaller companies that performed better in the period.

This is also evidence that maintaining well-diversified, long-term thinking in your investment approach rather than reacting to short term valuations is key. We can help you develop and monitor carefully considered plans to meet your life objectives for the future which is probably more important to you.

Happy Diwali!

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Quarterly Market Review
2nd Quarter 2025

Here's a breakdown of what happened last quarter. This is for those of you interested in aspects such as which countries returns were higher (Korea!) or whether Value / Large or Smaller companies performed better in the period. There is also a Long-Term Market Summary and Average Quarterly Returns for Stocks and Bonds going back 20 years!

This should provide comfort that maintaining a well-diversified investment approach, rather than making predictions about what will come next, is more reliable for your savings.

With this in mind we help develop carefully considered financial plans to achieve your life objectives for the future which is probably what matters more to you!

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Market Insight: Sweeping changes

Welcome to our latest issue. The October 2024 Budget proposed sweeping changes to Inheritance Tax (IHT), significantly tightening the laws that were previously more forgiving for families with trading businesses and farmland. Effective from April 2026, these types of assets will now incur IHT at a reduced rate of 20% on valuations exceeding £1 million. On page 04, we consider why the changes are leaving many families scrambling to reassess their estate planning strategies.

Ten years ago, pension freedoms revolutionised how people access their retirement savings. These changes offered savers over 55 greater options to withdraw and manage their pension pots. However, a decade later, research indicates that many individuals are making critical financial decisions without seeking advice or fully understanding the tax implications. Read the full article on page 03.

A complete list of the articles featured in this issue appears on page 02.

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Quarterly Market Review 1st quarter 2025

Here's a breakdown of what happened last quarter. This is for those of you interested in aspects such as which countries returns were higher or whether Value / Growth or Smaller companies performed better in the period. I am aware that there have been many movements since April however for the purpose of completeness this covers the first quarter of the year.

This is also evidence that maintaining well-diversified, long-term thinking in your investment approach rather than reacting to daily valuations is key. We can help you develop and monitor carefully considered plans to meet your life objectives for the future which is probably more important to you!

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Chasing the returns of the biggest stocks in the US?

If top stocks exert a gravitational pull on the broad market’s return, the Magnificent 7 (Apple, Nvidia, Amazon, Tesla, Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet)have acted like the TON 618 black hole over the US the past few years.1 Accounting for about one-third of the S&P 500 Index’s weight2, the performance of these stocks has been a big driver of market-capitalization-weighted US large cap stock index returns.

This force can pull in a positive or negative direction. In 2024, the S&P 500 returned 25.0%. This was driven heavily by the Magnificent 7, which returned 48.3%. The other 493 stocks in the index collectively returned 15.9%. This year, the opposite effect has played out: The Magnificent 7 returned –12.3% through March 12, compared to –0.8% for the “S&P 493.”

The swings in performance for a US large cap index make a compelling case for global all cap diversification, which helps lessen exposure to the Magnificent 7. While non-US stocks underperformed the US in 2024, the MSCI All Country World ex USA IMI Index is outpacing the US thus far in 2025. Diversifying across regions and market capitalization is one way to mitigate the impact of a handful of stocks.

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Annual Market Review 2024

Here's a breakdown of what happened in 2024 . This is for those of you interested in aspects such as which countries returns were higher or whether Value / Growth or Smaller companies performed better in the period.

This is also evidence that maintaining well-diversified, long-term thinking in your investment approach rather than reacting to market swings is key. We can help you develop and monitor carefully considered plans to meet your life objectives for the future which is probably more important to you!

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