MARKET INSIGHTS: MARKET OUTLOOK 2025
Probably unlike most, I enjoy reading Market Outlook Reports from the previous year and compare them with what actually happened! I normally do this in between Christmas and New year when reports are issued for the coming year. These reports look appealing and well put together and include lots of research and graphs.
However making forecasts about the next twelve months turns out not to be a good guide to anything... hence we don’t send them out (ask me if you want to see them anyway).
This chart from Bloomberg shows in pink the range of professional (!) forecasters – UBS, Morgan Stanley, Citi, Wells Fargo, Barclays, etc – for where the US market will finish the year. And the black diamonds show where the market ended up. You can see these forecasts have been overly pessimistic in 4 of the last 5 years.
So given this insight we recommend looking beyond the headlines, focusing on what you can control and sticking with a diversified range of investments to meet your planning goals which is where we can help.
Source: Bloomberg LLP.
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